مین کرنسی پیئرز کا تجزیاتی جائزہ بمطابق 2026.03.20

The EUR/USD currency pair

کرنسی پیئر کے تکنیکی انڈیکیٹرز:

• سابقہ اوپن: 1.1465
• سابقہ کلوز: 1.1583
• آخری دن میں % chg.: +1.30%

On Thursday, March 19, 2026, the euro strengthened to 1.15 against the US dollar after the ECB kept the deposit rate at 2% for the sixth consecutive meeting. Despite the unchanged policy stance, Christine Lagarde delivered unexpectedly hawkish remarks, directly linking the war in Iran to rising stagflation risks, where surging energy prices push inflation higher while suppressing economic growth. Markets reacted instantly, fully pricing in two rate hikes by the end of the year, which supported the single currency against the dollar. For EUR/USD, the 1.15 level becomes a key psychological threshold: further upside will depend on whether expectations for a third ECB rate hike materialize amid the prolonged energy shock.

ٹریڈنگ تجاویز

• سپورٹ لیولز: 1.1556, 1.1530, 1.1491
• ریزسٹنس لیولز: 1.1613, 1.1666, 1.1707

The euro sharply reversed yesterday after testing support at 1.1450. Price impulsively broke through nearby resistance levels and consolidated above the EMA lines. Despite the pullback from 1.1613, intraday bias remains bullish. Under current market conditions, long positions may be considered from 1.1556 or 1.1530, but only with confirmation from buyers. A break below 1.1530 opens the path toward 1.1491.

متبادل حالات:

• Trend: Neutral
• Sup: 1.1556
• Res: 1.1613
• Note: Buy trades can be considered from 1.1556 or 1.1530, but only if there is confirmation of buying interest. A break below 1.1530 would open the way for the price to fall to 1.1491.

The GBP/USD currency pair

کرنسی پیئر کے تکنیکی انڈیکیٹرز:

• سابقہ اوپن: 1.3266
• سابقہ کلوز: 1.3429
• آخری دن میں % chg.: +1.23%

On Thursday, the British pound posted strong gains, rising above 1.33 after the Bank of England delivered unexpectedly hawkish meeting results. Contrary to expectations that two MPC members might vote for a rate cut, the decision to keep the rate at 3.75% was unanimous (9-0). The MPC openly warned that an escalation in the Middle East and attacks on Qatar’s gas infrastructure pose critical risks to the UK economy, threatening to derail the disinflation process. Markets now fully price in two BoE rate hikes by the end of 2026, a sharp contrast to recent expectations of policy easing.

ٹریڈنگ تجاویز

• سپورٹ لیولز: 1.3401, 1.3370, 1.3351, 1.3300
• ریزسٹنس لیولز: 1.3457, 1.3508, 1.3556

Like the euro, the pound sharply recovered yesterday amid broad USD weakness and hawkish central bank rhetoric. Technically, price impulsively broke above the EMA lines and key resistance levels, confirming a sustained bullish bias. Under current conditions, intraday long positions may be considered from 1.3401 or 1.3370 with buyer confirmation. Short positions become relevant only if the price breaks below 1.3351.

متبادل حالات:

• Trend: Down
• Sup: 1.3252
• Res: 1.3300
• Note: Buy trades can be considered from 1.3401 or 1.3370, but only if there is confirmation of buying interest. A break below 1.3351 would open the way for the price to fall to 1.3300.

The USD/JPY currency pair

کرنسی پیئر کے تکنیکی انڈیکیٹرز:

• سابقہ اوپن: 159.76
• سابقہ کلوز: 157.79
• آخری دن میں % chg.: -1.24%

On Friday, March 20, 2026, the Japanese yen strengthened significantly, reaching 158 per dollar. This rebound followed a sharp move earlier in the week toward the psychological 160 level, which heightened expectations of FX intervention and more decisive action from the Bank of Japan. The main driver behind the yen’s rally was the hawkish undertone of the latest BoJ meeting: despite keeping the rate at 0.75%, the regulator signaled readiness to counter inflationary pressures triggered by the Gulf conflict. Additional support came from easing tensions in the oil market after Donald Trump ruled out a ground operation and Benjamin Netanyahu pledged to halt strikes on Iranian energy facilities. For Japan, a major energy importer, lower oil prices reduce pressure on the trade balance and slow the yen’s depreciation.

ٹریڈنگ تجاویز

• سپورٹ لیولز: 157.87, 157.32
• ریزسٹنس لیولز: 158.55, 159.28, 159.74

The yen strengthened sharply yesterday, reaching the liquidity pocket below 157.87. Buyers stepped in after the test, triggering a corrective rebound. Today, focus shifts to resistance at 158.55. If sellers regain control there, the price may retest 157.87 or lower. If 158.55 breaks impulsively, USD/JPY could quickly jump toward 159.28.

متبادل حالات:

• Trend: Up
• Sup: 158.28
• Res: 159.74
• Note: Considering sell trades starting at 158.55, but only with confirmation. A break below 158.55 on a downward impulse will open the way for the price to reach 159.28.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

کرنسی پیئر کے تکنیکی انڈیکیٹرز:

• سابقہ اوپن: 4827
• سابقہ کلوز: 4657
• آخری دن میں % chg.: -3.65%

On Thursday, the precious metals market faced a wave of aggressive selling, pushing gold down more than 5% to 4560 USD per ounce. This marks the seventh consecutive session of declines and a fresh low since early January, as investors drastically reassessed interest rate expectations. The primary driver of the sell-off was the synchronized hawkish stance of major global central banks amid the ongoing energy shock. The Federal Reserve, while keeping rates unchanged, highlighted inflation risks and geopolitical uncertainty. The ECB, BoE, and BoJ echoed this hawkish tone. Markets now price in two rate hikes in both the eurozone and the UK by year-end.

ٹریڈنگ تجاویز

• سپورٹ لیولز: 4605, 4400
• ریزسٹنس لیولز: 4801, 4869, 4900

Gold continues to decline rapidly with no signs of reversal. Current rebounds appear to be short-covering (fixing) rather than genuine trend shifts. Under these conditions, any corrective move should be viewed as an opportunity to enter short positions. The most optimal selling zones are the dynamic EMA lines or resistance levels at 4801 and 4869. There are no favorable long setups at the moment.

متبادل حالات:

• Trend: Down
• Sup: 4605
• Res: 4801
• Note: Look for short setups from EMA lines or resistance at 4801. No optimal long entries at this time.